Christian, Conservative, Southern – that’s the profile of the Republican base. I have heard alot of people say “Mitt Romney can’t carry the south” both on my blog and on other sites. This argument seems to be based in Romney’s Mormon Religion, many believing that most Evangelical Christians won’t support a Mormon. This might be true if you had a large field of well-qualified, well-known Conservatives, but that is not the case this year. Looking at the current field of candidates on the GOP side, there are three major candidates. Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, and John McCain are the agreed-upon “top-tier” candidates. This fact alone may be enough to counter the argument that Romney can’t gain the support of Evangelicals; He leads Southern Christian Sam Brownback by a considerable margin.
However, assuming that is not enough to counter the “Evangelicals won’t support Romney” argument, lets look at the other (current) options, mainly the top three. You have Rudy Giuliani, who is pro-abortion (he has said abortions should be funded by the government) and pro-gay marriage, and you have John McCain, who has had past fallouts with the Christian Right. Are we going to assume that Evangelicals are going to support a pro-abortion candidate over Mitt? I don’t think so.
Moving on to the general election, am I really to believe that Evangelicals would rather see Hillary elected than Mitt? If I had to guess, I would say that Conservative Christians would turn out in droves simply to vote against Clinton.
Romney has already gained support from many Christian Evangelicals in government, and members of major Christian groups. Mitt is doing just fine among Christian Conservatives, and I beleive he could get just as many Evangelical votes as any other candidate.