Romney leads by 8% in Iowa, New Hampshire. “Undecided” Tops Michigan Polling

Ok, there is a lot of new polling  that got released today, and, I can gladly say, almost all of it is favorable to Romney. The first poll comes from Rasmussen, and is their daily tracking poll:

Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll – October 4, 2007

Fred Thompson – 22%
Rudy Giuliani – 20%
Mitt Romney – 17%
John McCain – 11%
Mike Huckabee – 5%

This is, I believe, the closest the GOP race has ever been. The top three candidates are now all within 5% of each other, and no candidate is able to earn even a quarter of the GOP vote. The next polls are all from early states, and are from Insider Advantage:

Insider Advantage Iowa GOP Caucus – October 4, 2007

Mitt Romeny – 24%
Rudy Giuliani – 16%
undecided – 13%
Mike Huckabee – 13%
Fred Thompson – 13%
John McCain – 10%

Insider Advantage New Hampshire GOP Primary – October 4, 2007

Mitt Romney  – 28%
Rudy Giuliani – 20%
John McCain – 17%
undecided – 10%
Mike Huckabee – 8%
Fred Thompson – 8%

Insider Advantage GOP South Carolina Primary – October 4, 2007

Fred Thompson – 21%
Mitt Romney – 16%
Rudy Giuliani – 16%
John McCain – 16%
undecided – 13%
Mike Huckabee 11%

Insider Advantage GOP Michigan Primary – October 4, 2007

undecided – 21%
Rudy Giuliani – 19%
Mitt Romney – 16%
John McCain – 15%
Fred Thompson – 14%

Insider Advantage GOP Florida Primary – October 4, 2007

Rudy Giuliani – 29%
Fred Thompson – 19%
Mitt Romney – 16%
undecided – 15%
John McCain – 10%

Ok, a couple quick notes: The margin of error for all of the Insider Advantage polls is +/- 3%. There is also some criticism that this poll has an oversample of women – which means that candidates favored by women (read as Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson ) would have inflated numbers.

I’ll have more tomorrow night.

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3 Comments

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3 responses to “Romney leads by 8% in Iowa, New Hampshire. “Undecided” Tops Michigan Polling

  1. Swint

    Great news for Romney! I am thrilled. Saw him last night in DC. If everyone could see him as he was last night, he would win in land slide.
    http://www.dryflypolitics.com

  2. cwpete

    Romney’s numbers there certainly look as good as they ever have.

  3. tommyd4

    ACT Blog,
    Thompson is favored by men more than women. It actually tilts the results away from Thompson.

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