Interesting Iowa Poll

This is an interesting poll, and I’m not talking about the results, which are relatively in-line with other polls from IA. However, the way this poll was conducted says something. Take a look, first at the results, then the method the results were achieved:

University of Iowa Poll – GOP Primary – October 29, 2007

  • Mitt Romney 36%
  • Rudy Giuliani 13%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Fred Thompson 11%
  • John McCain 6%
  •  —

    …this survey used an entirely open-ended vote preference question. Respondents had to volunteer the name of their choice without prompting. This method undoubtedly provides a tougher test of voter commitment, but also produces a much bigger undecided and renders the results incomparable to other Iowa polls. As such, we have not included either of the U. of Iowa polls in our Iowa charts.

    I have never actually seen a poll like this before, where those polled are required to actually state the name of the candidate they support. This might provide a more accurate representation of the electorate, because it filters out those who are really unsure of who to support, and instead hit a random number on their phone.

    Interesting to note – it looks like Romney is the only candidate picking up support, as the support for all other candidates are nearly identical to the last poll. Romney picked up 8% – possibly a result of Sam Brownback dropping out. Keep an eye on Iowa – the Caucus is little more than 60 days away, and Iowa could set the trend for the rest of the nation, as it has in the past in close primaries.


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